Rhodes Scholar

Play Ball!

Today (March 26, 2020) would have been Opening Day in Major League Baseball. Though it has been postponed for obvious reasons. Despite my youthful obsession with baseball (and my preternatural ability to remember inconsequential details that you mere mortals cannot) the only Opening Day performance I can recall in detail  is this one:

Tuffy Rhodes had spent parts of five seasons with major league teams, hitting a total of 5 home runs prior to 1994. In the 1994 opening day game, he hit 3 home runs. Suddenly, he was the most in-demand player in fantasy baseball leagues, because of  three swings of the bat. Based on just a few data points (1 game, and 3 home runs), there where  who concluded that Rhodes had suddenly become an elite-level player, or was on the hottest of hitting streaks. Neither turned out to be true. Rhodes, hit a total of eight home runs that season and never hit another in a big league-game following the 1994 season. He finished with 13 home runs for his Major League  career. That’s 742 home runs behind the career total of Hank Aaron. 

The Syndrome

Sports writers coined a term, Tuffy Rhodes Syndrome, to describe  the rush to judgement about a player’s future stardom based on a recently-occurring successful performance. Tuffy Rhodes Syndrome is a form of recency bias.  
“Recency bias” is the phenomenon of a person most easily remembering something that has happened recently, compared to remembering something that may have occurred a while back. ”
Recency bias has always affected decisions in all aspects of life. It’s a small matter if a fantasy league team owner acquires a mediocre player, because the player had one good game. Though recency bias also impacts decisions of great consequence. We’re going to see a lot of that in coming weeks (perhaps months) as elected leaders, and advisors examine “the numbers” to make decisions about containment and treatment plans during a pandemic. Even if a decision is made in good faith, and is based on sound data, our overall  situation can change rapidly and often. With luck, we, and our governing organizations, will be agile enough to adapt to new circumstances. Let’s hope that we can all avoid succumbing to Tuffy Rhodes Syndrome which leads to inappropriate decision based on too few data points. Good night and good luck.

Epilogue

After reading this post, or if you were already familiar with Tuffy Rhodes, you may have reached some conclusions about his performance, and that he was a mediocre player. I once made those conclusions myself. The facts are that he made it to the major league because he excelled in high school and in the minor leagues. I was cut from my school team in 7th grade and  (surprise!) I never tried out for a baseball team again. Following his Major League career, he was a big-time star in Japan, hitting 462 career home runs, which is 462 more home runs than most of us hit in that league The fact is that he  was a great player, though he never caught on in the Majors. Tuffy, we all owe you an apology.  
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We’ll Meet Again

(originally published 3/20/2020, updates on 05/05/2020)


Songs of Hope

A couple of days after the State of Michigan, closed many businesses due to an emergency order, I drove through downtown Grand Rapids, passing endless darkened bars, restaurants, music venues etc.

I was bit surprised by the song that I found myself humming.

We’ll Meet Again was recorded in 1939 by Vera Lynn, and was popular with British soldiers, who were shipping off to a war front, as well as their loved ones awaiting their return. In 1942, the song was recorded by US bandleader Benny Goodman, and featured vocals by Peggy Lee. 

Other than a few times, I hadn’t thought much about the song in decades.

We’ll Meet Again was one of the songs in my mother’s “playlist.” One constant in my youth, and my young adulthood, is that when my mother  folded or ironed clothes, she quietly performed renditions of World War II-era songs. Sometimes she seemed happy, often she didn’t.

My mom had a rotten childhood (orphaned during the Great Depression for starters..) and a stressful adulthood ( a military wife with 6 kids).

I remember a particularly difficult stretch when both my father and brother (15 years my senior) were in Vietnam. There were a couple of times when television shows were interrupted by a war-related  announcement from President Johnson or President Nixon.

In these cases, she had no patience for anything but pin-dropping silence from the kids at home.  Our unambiguous orders: “Shut the hell up!”

Even during this period she frequently hummed, or sang from the playlist (usually Lynn’s White Cliffs of Dover, or I’ll Be Seeing You) when she was feeling depressed or angry while she folded clothes.

Occasionally she hummed/sang an upbeat version of  We’ll Meet Again when she was in better spirits.

I realized many years later why my mother  clung to those songs. They gave her hope. Her early childhood didn’t give her many reasons to be hopeful.

In her early adulthood her brothers were deployed to Europe during the War , and boyfriend Bob (aka my father), shipped off to the South Pacific, while she installed clutches on military vehicles at an Army base a few miles from her home. 

Being hopeful probably seemed like her best option. 


US Sailor and Wife (Circa 19460

(April 1946)



The day after I’d found myself humming We’ll Meet Again, I recalled that Steven Colbert had used the song in his final broadcast of The Colbert Report. I watched it on YouTube that morning.

I was surprised by how that performance of the  song, by an   ensemble celebrity chorus shook my cynicism loose.

I think I’ve found my weather-the-storm song:

The day after I wrote the original draft of this post, I looked some articles about Vera Lynn, who recorded the original version of We’ll Meet Again.

A strange and wonderful coincidence, is that on that very day (March 20, 2020, Dame Vera Lynn was celebrating her 103rd birthday. 

Here is her performance from the feature film We’ll Meet Again:

 

It was good to learn that  Lynn is still among us, and that the sales of We’ll Meet Again are soaring following Queen Elizabeth’s reference to the song in her speech in April.

Postscript (05/05/2020)

Latest remake of the We’ll Meet Again featuring Dame Lynn and the West End Stars (of London Theatre) recently premiered.  It’s another gem:

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No, You DON’T Know What They’re Going Through

“Is This How I Die?

A couple of days ago in the checkout lane, the young man bagging groceries was quietly, though rather publicly, having an existential crisis.

People were telling him things like “You JUST need to calm down” or that “You JUST need Jesus.”

I was glad that he pushed back at these comments. Some of his anxiety-laden replies were rather clever.

While I was paying, he said (rhetorically, perhaps or to me): “Is this how I die? It can’t be how I die, can it?”

As I grabbed my bags, I told him of my premonition of how I’m going to die and that made him laugh.

He said “That is awesome” and thanked me for the chuckle.

You Have No Idea

I had few thoughts after I returned home from shopping.

First thing, regardless of your intent adding the word “Just” to a directive, or morsel of advice, can make it seem incredibly dismissive.

Just don’t do it.

Second, the fact that you were once a teenager (and got dumped by the person you were dating, failed a test for which you studied hard, didn’t get into your first-choice college….) does not qualify you to tell a young person, “I know what you’re going through.”

Kids in school today, were born into a state of perma-war; they face a $23 trillion+ debt, due to over 50 years of deficit spending; they endure mind-numbing drill-and-practice for standardized testing; many go without recess, gym classes, or extra-curricular activities.

And as a bonus they live with active-shooter drills and the specter of mass violence.

If they make it to adulthood they face crushing student loan and will have to compete for work with artificial intelligence software and honest-to-God walking, talking tool-using robots.

Now, as they were heading into the final quarter (or trimester), they face having the remainder of school year (of learning, sports, spring break, trips, college visits, school musicals, proms, Model UN, robotics tournaments, movies …. and just hanging out with friends after school) erased and their summer job prospects have likely evaporated.

Unless you were part of The Greatest Generation, your youthful experiences are probably nowhere near being on par with challenges of  today’s young people are staring down.

This is a tough time for young people. I can’t pretend that I know what they need, but it’s a safe bet that “dismissive comments from adults” is not high on the list.

Oh, my death…I’m certain that in the future, I’ll meet my end when I inexplicably recall a decades-old cartoon episode, and asphyxiate trying to suppress a laugh, while I’m on an important video call.

 

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Because They Can’t

Showing Up

This year, many, who work in public-facing jobs will be sickened with an infectious disease and will, despite warnings to do otherwise, will show up to work while they are still contagious.

This is not anything that is nor is or unique to the looming threat of the coronavirus. This happens every damn day, because these workers have no choice but to show up for work.

In the past few days, I’ve encountered many articles and social media posts, that call attention to the plight of low-wage workers.  Many of them lack insurance, and don’t have paid sick time. Thus they are not afforded the luxury of ‘just’ staying home if they are injured, or even if they  have a communicable illness.

Many of them are employed in food service, or other positions with frequent human contact. They regularly work under conditions where they pose risk to their own health and well-being; and at times, to that of that others in their community.

These articles have really hit home for me, on so many levels. I’ve been in their shoes and I know that many  people in these situations  won’t take off from work if they’re sick.

Because they can’t.

“Just” Take a Few Days Off

When I was in college I contracted a stomach virus, like many people in the community also did that fall.

I got so sick that I made a rare trip to the campus infirmary, where the physician’s assistant  provided me with the expected guidelines: “…get plenty of rest, drink lots of liquids and stay away from  solid foods until…” and assured me that I’d be better in about a week or 10 days.

He then suggested that I take a few days off from work.

“Like that’ll happen,” I thought to myself.

Because I Couldn’t

I was sick for months.

Because I never stopped working. Late-afternoons/evenings  or overnights for 8 or 16+ of heavy lifting, I’d  back in a steaming hot dish-room handling “clean” plates.

Missing work  had not even an option I’d considered, because I  couldn’t.

Nobody was going to pay my rent and utility bills, or the next semester’s tuition. And I was already being haunted by the specter of the student loan payments that would be due soon after graduation.

Avoiding solid foods didn’t work out so well, either.

Gatorade and chicken broth didn’t provide adequate sustenance for my work-activity level over 8 (sometimes 16+) hours. My shifts were bookended with a bicycle commute, that often involved a morning sprint, in which I raced home, to sneak in a shower before my morning classes.

I was getting a lot cramps: in my biceps, and upper back, and occasionally in my calves. Thus, I skipped ahead, from clear liquid to full liquid: gulping orange juice.

Soon I’d fast-forwarded to soft foods, wolfing down bananas by the bunch.

I don’t recall if the onslaught of potassium helped with the cramps, but my stomach was messier than ever.

Feed Me!

But…I was soooo hungry.  Fat, protein, carbohydrates…even vegetables were the things I craved.  One morning, as I wandered through  neighborhood convenience store, I heard the siren’s call of the “heat and eat” sandwiches section.

I stared longingly at the items, and tried to talk myself out of them, before tentatively grabbing a pack of sausage and cheese biscuits, knowing that once I hit the “start” button on the microwave that I officially owned it them.

I paid for the biscuits and wolfed down both of them while still standing in the parking lot because I couldn’t wait for the 100-yard-walk to my apartment building.

My stomach was quickly outraged.

I missed most of my classes that day, but went to work at 3 pm. My Statistics discussion section, or my Political Theory lecture, didn’t put bread (or sweaty sausage biscuits, for that matter) on the table. They were expendable.

When I Practiced To Deceive

During my weekend calls home, it was normal to chat with my mother for a few minutes before she handed the phone to my father who repeated a lot of the questions I’d answered for Mom.   Though during the period of my endless gastrointestinal affliction, he asked, “Ya been sick anymore?”

He had decades of medical experience, and had recently had  become a nurse. So, several times, I’d gotten  lectured about getting back to the “damn doctor” (“doctah” as he pronounced it).

While I agreed, I didn’t think I could because it was too expensive.

My father was a veteran, and as a college student, I would be covered under their insurance for a couple more years. Though, I knew that it didn’t cover everything.

I remember several times seeing my father burning through the checkbook paying medical bills that seemed to arrive by the basket-load every time one the six kids, or my mom, had a hospital stay.

Thus, to avoid contentious moments with my father, I  began lying about to him about my condition. I claimed that  I was back to running, lifting weights, etc. Lying and staying sick seemed a better option than arguing about going to the hospital.

All The Others

While, it seemed perverse that, despite having insurance, I couldn’t afford medical care, I realized that many people had it much worse than I did.

I don’t remember how many of my coworkers caught the stomach bug. Though it didn’t matter, things were already tough for many of  them.

In addition to the proverbial ”struggling students,” I worked with  many people who had families, and were the sole provider for:  their own children, disabled spouses, elderly parents, younger siblings…there would be even less rest for them.

Unlike me, almost none of them had insurance. Our employer didn’t provide it, and it was prohibitively expensive to obtain from outside sources.

There were several  tougher-than-nails waitresses who  returned to work a scant  few days after giving birth. And a bull-strong dishwasher in his late 40’s was hospitalized after suffering a heart attack. He came to work later that week.

Missing more work was not an option for them.

Why Don’t You ‘Just’ Stay Home?

My roommate, whose family was fairly well off,  used to badger me about going to work (and to classes) when I was ill.  He was a high school friend, and we were in our second year of living together, so he felt he could badger me, I guess.

Several times  he asked me, ”If you’re so sick, why don’t you just’ stay home?”

“I dunno,” was my usual answer.

After a particularly bad stretch with the stomach infection, I got up, groaning and listless, and made my way to the shower.

Again, he asked “Why don’t you ‘just’ stay home?”

This time, I replied  ”Because I can’t.”

Then to drive my point home, and to be a little bit of a jerk, I asked him “Why  won’t your dad  just’ pay my bills?”

He never asked again.

Be Better

It was easy then, and now, for people who have never been in a similar context  to dismiss lower-wage workers.

Furthermore, in a moment where we seemed perched on the edge of pandemic. It’s easy for people to dismiss these workers  as being ”too stupid to stay home when they’re sick.” (Unfortunately that is an actual quote, I’ve heard in the past).

The truth is that they don’t stay home for a simple reason: because they can’t.

My advice to those  who can’t understand the circumstances of others who may be  caught in the low-income trap: be kind, be helpful, or just try to be quiet.

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